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Decision support system for forecasting the numbers of the troop in the middle ages
(2022) Kapeleshchuk, A.
This work is devoted to solving the problem of predicting the number of troops in the Middle Ages. Three general tasks are formulated: forecasting the number of troops based on available factors; verification of the reality of the existence of troops of such a certain number; calculation of the size of the army after a certain time of the campaign. The main mathematical formulas necessary for carrying out calculations for each problem are given. The task of developing specialized software is formulated - a decision support system that allows you to test the hypothesis of the number of troops, dynamically simulate the number of troops at each moment of the campaign and calculate the number of troops using indirect data. An information model of the system is presented in the form of a set of UML diagrams (use cases, classes, sequence and components). Examples of using the developed system are described.